Premiership Game Score Predictions

Predictions

We are into the stretch run of the FPL season for the 2017-18 season. For those managers who are still actively involved, it is make or break time. I wonder how many “dead” teams are being carried on the site?

The BGW 35 results are finalized, and the RMT algorithm recorded identical 3/6 correct predictions as far as Winning Teams, Clean Sheets and Teams Scoring 2 or More Goals. The score simulations were much better with 4 correct win/draw results and 1 exact score, placing them among the top sites last week.

The RMT algorithm Simulations for Winning Teams in GW 36 are –

Home Away Sim% for HW/AW/Draw Sim% & Projected Score
Tottenham Watford 55.6 / 2.4 / 11.3 13.4 / 2-0
Manchester United Arsenal 53.9 / 12.0 / 21.9 14.3 / 1-1
Newcastle United West Bromwich 53.3 / 16.2 / 25.0 18.5 / 1-0
Burnley Brighton & Hove 50.1 / 19.6 / 27.2 20.3 / 1-0
Liverpool Stoke City 48.4 / 3.2 / 9.6 11.2 / 2-0
Huddersfield Town Everton 24.0 / 43.5 / 24.3 13.2 / 1-1
Swansea City Chelsea 20.4 / 42.7 / 30.1 16.4 / 1-1
West Ham United Manchester City 4.3 / 42.6 / 13.8 9.5 / 1-3
Southampton Bournemouth 40.9 / 26.8 / 26.6 15.6 / 1-1
Crystal Palace  Leicester City  36.3 / 29.3 / 27.8 14.0 / 1-1

 

The RMT algorithm Simulations for Clean Sheets for GW 36 are –

Home Away Sim% for H CS Sim% for A CS
Newcastle United West Bromwich 43.8 16.8
Burnley Brighton & Hove 42.7 22.3
Tottenham Watford 35.8 1.7
Manchester United Arsenal 35.2 8.0
Swansea City Chelsea 17.8 32.1
Liverpool Stoke City 28.2 1.2
Huddersfield Town Everton 15.9 28.1
Southampton Bournemouth 26.3 17.3
Crystal Palace Leicester City 22.9 19.9
West Ham United Manchester City 1.9 20.4

 

The RMT algorithm Simulations for Teams Scoring 2 or More Goals in GW 36 are –

Home Away % Sim for H 2+ G % Sim for A 2+ G
Tottenham Watford 50.6 8.3
Liverpool Stoke City 48.3 9.8
West Ham United Manchester City 15.0 46.9
Manchester United Arsenal 45.8 16.6
Huddersfield Town Everton 25.6 41.6
Swansea City Chelsea 23.7 39.0
Newcastle United West Bromwich 39.0 13.6
Crystal Palace Leicester City 38.6 35.8
Southampton Bournemouth 38.3 28.9
Burnley Brighton & Hove 33.3 13.2

 

The Statistical Score Predictions from WebSites for GW 36 are –

Home v Away Mean Mode Stats. Prediction
Liverpool v Stoke City 2.7-0.2 3-0 3-0
Burnley v Brighton & Hove 1.5-0.2 2-0 2-0
Crystal Palace v Leicester City 1.2-1.3 1-1 1-1
Huddersfield Town v Everton 0.6-0.7 1-1 1-1
Newcastle United v West Bromwich 1.5-0.2 1-0 2-0 or 1-0
Southampton v Bournemouth 0.9-1.0 1-1 1-1
Swansea City v Chelsea 0.6-1.8 1-1 1-2 or 1-1
West Ham United v Manchester City 0.5-2.3 1-2 1-2
Manchester United v Arsenal 1.7-0.6 2-1 2-1
Tottenham v Watford 2.1-0.2 2-0 2-0

I wanted to try something different this week. Located above are the Simulation Tables based on the RMT algorithm, and the Statistical Analyses based on the various websites monitored weekly. The idea is to review each match on the GW schedule and use the projected analyses to offer suggestions as to how each match will turn out.

The matches will follow the schedule posted on the FPL game site, as to date and time.

The first match of the week presents Liverpool hosting Stoke City. All signs to a ‘Pool win, a CS, and at least 2 goals being scored. With 3 games remaining Liverpool are third chasing United for a second place finish, and should be up for this match. Stoke are one place from the bottom and need every point they can garner to attempt to escape from the relegation zone.

A likely result would be a 2-0 or 3-0 ‘Pool win. Look for attack and defense from Liverpool.

The Top WebSite Results from BGW 35 were – 

Site # of Predictions # of Correct Wins/Draws # Correct Exact Scores
footballoctopus.com 6 5 1
bbcsports.com – LAWRO 6 5 1
footballpredictions.com 6 4 1
footstats.com 6 4 1
RMT algorithm 6 4 1
soccerwinners.com 6 4 0
totomaster.com 6 4 0
freesupertips.com 6 4 0
fplupdates.com 6 4 0

Authors

  • Bio
  • Latest posts

ChorleyRocks

Site founder, first used stats to try to win his work mini-league. Now helps other managers win theirs.
  • Bio
  • Latest posts

mosc1938

79 yr old retired water & wastewater Chemist from Philadelphia, PA; retired to Florida. Enjoying the game more through association with all on site.
Continuing my FPL educations with the help of quite a few friends.

3 thoughts on “Predictions

Comments are closed.