Premiership Game Score Predictions

Sorting the Score Predictions for EPL GW19 2016

With the quick transition from GW18 to Gw19 I’m not sure how many data points I will have for this week’s statistical predictions. I guess most sites will wait until Wednesday’s match final to post. That leaves Thursday to pull it all together. Hope it works out.

GW 20 is even trickier with 2 matches on New Years Day followed by 6 matches on the 2nd of January. Then it’s back to a more manageable schedule.

No time to waste, so let’s get right into it.

  1. 11 of 13 sites pick EVE to win at HUL and 39.4% of RMT Adviser’s simulations agree with a 10.2% chance of a 1-2 score.
  2. The sites are split, 6 to 6, between a BUR home win or a draw and the RMT Adviser’s simulations are also split with 13.2% chance of a BUR score of 1-0 and 13.0% chance of a SUN score of 0-1.” You takes yer pick”.
  3. All 12 sites favor a CHE home win and 55.2% of simulations predict a CHE win with a 12.8% chance of a 2-0 score.
  4. 8 of 12 sites predict a LEI home win and 48.6% of simulations agree with an 11.4% chance of a 2-1 score.
  5. All 13 sites lean toward a MUN home win and 52.6% of the simulations agree with a 21.8% chance of a 1-0 score.
  6. 11 of 12 sites predict a SOU home win and 51.6% of simulations agree with a 22.8% chance of a 1-0 score.
  7. 7 of 12 sites predict a draw at home between SWA and BOU but the RMT Adviser’s simulations yield a 33.0% to 28.8% chance of an SWA win with a 10.6% chance of a 1-0 score.
  8. 9 of 13 sites favor a LIV win at home and 42.8% of the simulations agree with a10.0% chance of a 2-1 score.
  9. 10 of 12 sites pick TOT to win at WAT and 48.4% of the simulations agree with a 15.2% chance of a 1-2 score.
  10. All 12 sites pick ARS to win at home and 50.4% of the simulations agree with a 12.4% chance of a 2-0 score.

The statistical predictions for EPL GW19 are –

Home v Away Mean Mode Stats. Prediction
HUL v EVE 0.4-1.5 0-2 0-2
BUR v SUN 1.0-0.5 1-1 1-1
CHE v STC 2.1-0.1 2-0 2-0
LEI v WHU 1.5-0.8 1-1 or 2-1 2-1 or 1-1
MUN v MID 1.8-0.1 2-0 2-0
SOU v WBA 1.3-0.1 1-0 1-0
SWA v BOU 1.1-1.1 1-1 1-1
LIV v MCI 1.7-1.1 2-1 2-1
WAT v TOT 0.5-1.5 0-1 1-2 or 0-1
ARS v CPL 2.3-0.5 3-0 2-1 or 3-0

Since the final match of this game week has not been completed, I will leave the top sites portion of the article until next week. So, this week’s stats are short and hopefully sweet. I don’t know if it will be possible to get anything together before the next GW, but will do all in my power to try.

I hope all had a Happy Christmas and I wish you all a Happy New Year.


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79 yr old retired water & wastewater Chemist from Philadelphia, PA; retired to Florida. Enjoying the game more through association with all on site.
Continuing my FPL educations with the help of quite a few friends.

61 thoughts on “Sorting the Score Predictions for EPL GW19 2016

  1. Thanks Mosc,

    Appreciate the speed in getting the article together and on site.

    Wishing you a Happy New Year

    • @NasiDagang None have been announced yet. One may be looming because Liverpool and Man U / Hull will be contesting the League Cup final. They will miss their scheduled games and these games will be rescheduled into a normal GW.

      Liverpool play on Monday, not Sunday, so have slightly longer than 21 hours; the Monday games are a new GW.

  2. Just how poor are Everton, it’s 1-1 and Everton haven’t scored a goal, I cannot see Lukaku staying because Everton concede more than they score, then again Lukaku should be scoring more goals himself, I know he cannot do it on his own and needs support.

    • @Terminators 2-2 in the end and either side could have lost. Unfortunately for me one of my cup opponents (wisely) has Snodgrass; fortunately my nearest league challenger has Lukaku. So a mixed evening.

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