Premiership Game Score Predictions

Sorting the Score Predictions for EPL GW19 2016

With the quick transition from GW18 to Gw19 I’m not sure how many data points I will have for this week’s statistical predictions. I guess most sites will wait until Wednesday’s match final to post. That leaves Thursday to pull it all together. Hope it works out.

GW 20 is even trickier with 2 matches on New Years Day followed by 6 matches on the 2nd of January. Then it’s back to a more manageable schedule.

No time to waste, so let’s get right into it.

  1. 11 of 13 sites pick EVE to win at HUL and 39.4% of RMT Adviser’s simulations agree with a 10.2% chance of a 1-2 score.
  2. The sites are split, 6 to 6, between a BUR home win or a draw and the RMT Adviser’s simulations are also split with 13.2% chance of a BUR score of 1-0 and 13.0% chance of a SUN score of 0-1.” You takes yer pick”.
  3. All 12 sites favor a CHE home win and 55.2% of simulations predict a CHE win with a 12.8% chance of a 2-0 score.
  4. 8 of 12 sites predict a LEI home win and 48.6% of simulations agree with an 11.4% chance of a 2-1 score.
  5. All 13 sites lean toward a MUN home win and 52.6% of the simulations agree with a 21.8% chance of a 1-0 score.
  6. 11 of 12 sites predict a SOU home win and 51.6% of simulations agree with a 22.8% chance of a 1-0 score.
  7. 7 of 12 sites predict a draw at home between SWA and BOU but the RMT Adviser’s simulations yield a 33.0% to 28.8% chance of an SWA win with a 10.6% chance of a 1-0 score.
  8. 9 of 13 sites favor a LIV win at home and 42.8% of the simulations agree with a10.0% chance of a 2-1 score.
  9. 10 of 12 sites pick TOT to win at WAT and 48.4% of the simulations agree with a 15.2% chance of a 1-2 score.
  10. All 12 sites pick ARS to win at home and 50.4% of the simulations agree with a 12.4% chance of a 2-0 score.

The statistical predictions for EPL GW19 are –

Home v Away Mean Mode Stats. Prediction
HUL v EVE 0.4-1.5 0-2 0-2
BUR v SUN 1.0-0.5 1-1 1-1
CHE v STC 2.1-0.1 2-0 2-0
LEI v WHU 1.5-0.8 1-1 or 2-1 2-1 or 1-1
MUN v MID 1.8-0.1 2-0 2-0
SOU v WBA 1.3-0.1 1-0 1-0
SWA v BOU 1.1-1.1 1-1 1-1
LIV v MCI 1.7-1.1 2-1 2-1
WAT v TOT 0.5-1.5 0-1 1-2 or 0-1
ARS v CPL 2.3-0.5 3-0 2-1 or 3-0

Since the final match of this game week has not been completed, I will leave the top sites portion of the article until next week. So, this week’s stats are short and hopefully sweet. I don’t know if it will be possible to get anything together before the next GW, but will do all in my power to try.

I hope all had a Happy Christmas and I wish you all a Happy New Year.

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mosc1938

78 yr old retired water & wastewater Chemist from Philadelphia, PA; retired to Florida. 6th year in FPL & second full year writing for FantasyFootballFirst. Enjoying the game more through association with all on site.

61 thoughts on “Sorting the Score Predictions for EPL GW19 2016

  1. Thanks Mosc,

    Appreciate the speed in getting the article together and on site.

    Wishing you a Happy New Year

    • @NasiDagang None have been announced yet. One may be looming because Liverpool and Man U / Hull will be contesting the League Cup final. They will miss their scheduled games and these games will be rescheduled into a normal GW.

      Liverpool play on Monday, not Sunday, so have slightly longer than 21 hours; the Monday games are a new GW.

  2. Just how poor are Everton, it’s 1-1 and Everton haven’t scored a goal, I cannot see Lukaku staying because Everton concede more than they score, then again Lukaku should be scoring more goals himself, I know he cannot do it on his own and needs support.

    • @Terminators 2-2 in the end and either side could have lost. Unfortunately for me one of my cup opponents (wisely) has Snodgrass; fortunately my nearest league challenger has Lukaku. So a mixed evening.

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