My team was nominated as the official Fantasy Football First team. My job is to tell you how and why I have picked certain players and formations for the Fantasy Premier League, and explain my reasoning behind any changes along the way. This article explains the changes I have made to my team and why.
So what happened in game week 13?
The North London derby resulted in Conte’s Chelsea getting their 7th straight win with the same team. Spurs on the other hand scrapped their 3-4-3 for a more orthodox 4-2-3-1 with Wimmer replacing the suspended Rose. In the first half they looked sharp with Son on the far left wing but overall failed to convert opportunities.
Elsewhere in London the Gunners took on the Cherries. Wenger being forced into one change with Debuchy preferred over Jenkinson and Bellerin still out. The Ox and Elneny started over Iwobi and Coquelin. Bournemouth saw two Smiths in their starting lineup. Adam Smith returning from suspension and Brad Smith replacing the injured Daniels. However they could not stop the Chilean magician Sanchez as they succumbed to a 3-1 loss.
Manchester City made a few key changes. Bandwagon pick Gundogan and popular defender Stones left out of the squad. Toure retained a starting spot in attacking midfield. Their opponents Burnley utilised a 4-2-3-1 over the 4-4-2 of previous weeks with Boyd replacing Arfield and veteran keeper Paul Robinson replacing the injured skipper, Heaton. It was a disappointing display from City who edged 2-1 over the Clarets.
Mourinho is becoming one of United’s least successful managers, residing at a dismal 6th in the league. Ibrahimovic was back from suspension to face West Ham and Lingard replaced Martial. West Ham thoroughly deserved the 1-1 draw, Collins replacing suspended Reid and Noble back from injury.
The Swansea Palace game turned out to be the biggest goal fest so far. Swansea utilising the same personal but in a 4-1-3-2 formation with Barrow starting upfront. Palace were struggling for goals before this weekend so a change to a 4-4-2 formation was maybe just what they needed. Striker Wickham replacing midfielder Townsend.
Leicester had just one change with Andy King replacing the suspended Drinkwater in midfield. They drew 2-2 letting in two goals from Negredo.
Youngsters seem to be popping up in the Premier League, 19 year old Josh Sims starting for Southampton this week. He replaced Boufal on the left wing and Ward-Prowse replaced the ill Davis. He set up the one goal scored in the fixture with Everton, the latter having the return of key midfielder Barry. Elsewhere 17-year old Josh Tymon started again as left back for Hull in a man of the match performance. He had West Brom’s Matty Phillips in his back pocket for the majority of the game.
Stoke made a host of changes and used a 3-4-2-1 formation. Johnson was started at centre back and striker Diouf played as right wingback. Shawcross, Bardsley and Allen should all be back next week but they managed a 1-0 win without them.
Thumbs up to Leon for the summary.
So how did I do in game week 13?
In game week 13 I sold Allen because he was red-flagged and bought Coquelin. My team picked up 46 points and I fell 37k in the rankings.
I think I lucked out on Coutinho’s injury given he was my captain, and I made the wrong choice in Pieters vs Holebas.
An observation is Aguero’s shooting. Below is his shot positions for last season. Note the lines I have drawn showing shooting from in-front of both posts and level with the penalty spot. I have also shaded an area where he does not shoot much.
This is his shooting this season, with the same markings …
Would you agree he’s not getting as many shots in the same areas? Or perhaps he’s not getting goals from the same areas? Or am I reading too much into it? Another one to monitor.
Game week 14
Starting with injuries, Coutinho is injured and out for 4 to 6 weeks. There was a good debate on this week’s podcast about Coutinho replacements, so I won’t repeat it here. For me, I decided to replace him with Sigy of Swansea. I know Swansea have a tough fixture this week, and I know Sigy is not getting a full game as the target man, but he still represents a great option for the next 6 weeks. So with the long term view in mind I sold Coutinho and bought Sigy.
Last season Deeney scored 13 goals, so 3 goals in 13 games is approximately consistent. Yet he scores goals in patches, and it is now 6 weeks since he last scored, so he is obviously not in a patch. Looking at Deeney’s shot positions, we can see he is shooting from the right places for goals, but seems to consistently put the ball wide – perhaps an expected outcome of Watford’s wing play (something to investigate).
Lastly, in the next 3 Watford face a Pulis team, then Everton (H) and Man City (A) – I can’t see many Watford goals in those games. So I have decided to sell Deeney for a hit.
The player I have brought in is Auston of Southampton. I have mentioned him a few times in these despatches, and I feel he will outscore Deeney over the next 7 games, therefore a cost of 0.57 points per game (a 4 point hit over 7 games) I feel Austin is worth the points deduction.
To confirm, I have sold Coutinho and Deeney to buy Sigy and Austin. This is my team for game week 14.
My captain is currently Walcott, but I am tempted to captain Austin. If I change my captain I will post a comment below and post a tweet too.
Lastly, Grant will need to be moved on soon, so there is a chance I’ll make an early transfer next week. Keep an eye on twitter for any announcements.
Best of luck to you all.
RMT Analytical Adviser’s Algorithm team
— FantasyFootballFirst (@FanFootFirst) December 3, 2016